Statistics That Tell the Story
Posted on Sunday, November 29, 2020 at 10:27 PM
These days we hear a lot of Covid statistics in the news. But no
matter what your journalistic focus, stats can sometimes come in handy.
Used with care, numbers can add clarity, meaning, and depth to writing.
By
Peter P. Jacobi
Let your writers know, when necessary, that
people fall in love with people, not statistics.
There is an
overdependence on numbers in exposition and argumentation. That's not
because they are easy to use, because they aren't. It's probably because
they are easy to gather. In information gathering, they are often the
path of least resistance.
If statistics are necessary, make sure
they are not overused. Too many numbers in the story can overwhelm the
reader. They also can confuse the reader and hide the true nature of the
message.
On the other hand, if statistics are necessary, make
sure they are not underused. That can result in reader puzzlement.
Insist
that usage be selective. Insist that every number used clarifies. Insist
that distortion is dishonesty. Insist that accuracy, in statistics as
elsewhere, is a journalistic necessity.
And encourage creativity
so that statistics gain meaning, make a point, summarize, contextualize.
"Put
three grains of sand inside a vast cathedral," Sir James Jeans, the
esteemed British scientist, once suggested, "and the cathedral will be
more closely packed with sand than space with stars."
That's
vastness clarified.
Be Selective
"In the 15 minutes
it takes to read these two pages," wrote Timothy Aeppel in the Christian
Science Monitor years ago, "more than 2,200 people will be added to
the world's population. Each week we add the equivalent of another
Houston; each year, another Mexico."
That was Aeppel's way
of explaining the earth's explosive population growth in an article
titled "5 Billion and Counting." Scope and enormity are clearly
identified. The statistics were carefully chosen. They're the more
effective for having been used sparingly. The author has not flooded us.
Symbolically
Portrayed
Remember the marvelous special explanation John
McPhee used in Basin and Range? "With your arms spread wide again
to represent all time on earth," he said, "look at one hand with its
line of life. The Cambrian begins in the wrist, and the Permian
Extinction is at the outer end of the palm. All of the Cenozoic is in a
fingerprint, and in a single stroke with a medium-grained nail file you
could eradicate human history."
No statistics at all except
by implication. How much that says. How vividly that explains.
Facts
with Impact
If the writer finds the right statistic, the
message is immediately enunciated; no elaboration is required. As, for
example, once when a US News & World Report writer told me
that every minute of every day, 53 acres of the world's tropical rain
forests are cleared. Shocking. Then the writer does some multiplying to
let me know those 53 acres times 53 acres times 53 acres and so forth
turn into more than 43,000 square miles a year, an area the size of Ohio
or Tennessee. Staggering.
A Compelling Play on Numbers
An
article in an airline magazine asked me to "imagine one of our giant
747s flying at full cruising speed of 500 knots giving forth twin vapor
trails of government forms ... vapor trails with a total width of five
feet and as long as the 747’s flight on an around-the-clock basis for 38
days and nights. Such a flow of forms, 19.5 billion in number, would be
equal to the forms used in the federal system in a single year."
That's
playing with numbers, and playing is always potentially dangerous. But
in this case, I find a compelling point on the verge of being made. The
writer then continues with some well-crafted wordsmithery: "long forms,
short forms, multi-page forms -- forms with middling questions to
mystify the mind and anger the spirit, forms with small print to
blearify the eyes and dull the heart, and forms with tiny spaces to
crampify the hand and imprison the intellect. Forms to kill the dream."
That's
the way to use statistics.
Theoretically Speaking...
Now,
remember, and ask your writers to remember, one can do anything with
statistics. The president of the American Society for the Conservation
of Gravity, for instance, once told me: "Americans, with only 6 percent
of the world's population, use 68 percent of the gravity. What goes up
requires gravity to come down. Our countless skyscrapers with elevators
whizzing, our huge jet freighters, our incessant rocket launchings bear
witness to our shameful national don't-give-a-damn attitude. Gravity is
our most precious terrestrial resource. It is a vital resource. And it
is a nonrenewable resource. When we run out, everything will float off
the Earth's surface into space. Women and children will go first."
Yes,
indeed, one can do anything with statistics. If your article is about
strange flora and fauna and you attribute the above to source, that's
fine, of course. Otherwise? Enough said.
Potent Truisms
I
was more impressed with a statistical package created more than 30 years
ago by Dr. Henry Leiper of the Congregational Christian Churches and the
American Bible Society. He reconstructed the world into a community of
1,000 people -- this in an effort to show more clearly what we are all
about. That community, he said, would include 60 Americans. By now, I
perhaps needn't point out, the number of Americans would be smaller, but
that would really strengthen the argument being made.
Half of the
town's income, figured Dr. Leiper, would go to those 60 Americans; those
60 would have 15 times the number of possessions as others in town. They
would produce 16 percent of the community’s food supply, eat most of
what they grow, and store the rest in their backyard sheds. They would
eat 72 percent above the daily maximum food requirements. Meanwhile, a
third of the people in that town would go to bed hungry every night, and
perhaps 100 would be near starvation. The Americans would have a
disproportionate share of steel, fuel, coal, electric power, and general
equipment. A majority of the people would be poorly educated or
illiterate, hungry or ill. Half the population would never have heard of
Jesus or the religion he inspired. Most of the Americans would be so
busy watching television and playing golf and raising their kids and
making money that they would be unaware of the plight of their fellow
townspeople.
And so forth.
The picture created gives a
vivid impression of a geopolitical reality, of moral and economic and
cultural dilemmas. One could perhaps have made the argument through
humanization just as well, through the use of individual haves and
have-nots. But the statistics make a muscular argument.
No
More, No Less
Sometimes one statistic says enough, as in: the
rank of national and local Miss America pageants among all sources of
college scholarship money for women -- first. Sometimes one statistic
does not say enough, as in: the company made $10 million in profits last
year -- is that up, down, stable, sufficient? We need to be told at
least that the figure is up from $8 million the previous year, an
increase of 25 percent. Note that these statistics are from many years
ago.
As you guide your writer or you judge the manuscript, just
remember that those statistics which tell the story should be used, no
more, no fewer.
A classic article from a past issue in tribute
to the late Peter J. Jacobi, longtime EO writer and author of
The Magazine Article: How to Think It, Plan It, Write It.
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